Bilateral Credit Valuation Adjustment for Credit Default Swaps Portfolios
Agostino Capponi
School of Industrial Engineering
Purdue University
We obtain a closed-form expression for the bilateral counterparty valuation adjustment of a credit default swaps portfolio referencing an asymptotically large number of entities. We perform the analysis under a doubly stochastic intensity framework, allowing for simultaneous defaults through a common jump process. The key insight behind our approach is an explicit characterization of the portfolio exposure as the weak limit of measure-valued processes associated to survival indicators of portfolio names. We validate our theoretical predictions by means of a numerical analysis, showing that counterparty adjustments are highly sensitive to portfolio credit risk volatility as well as to default correlation.